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Labor & the local baseline

What this economy is before the project — the denominator every jobs claim divides by.

On the record

Every jobs promise is a numerator. This chapter is the denominator. It reports what Shelby County, Ohio's economy is before the project, from federal series that will still publish after it. A real impact study starts from this baseline, and so should every claim made against it.

County employmentgrounded
27,149
Shelby County, Ohio · 2023 · all ownerships
[verified] BLS QCEW
Populationgrounded
48,007
2023
[verified] Census ACS

The five largest private sectors

Sector Jobs Location quotient
Manufacturing 12,612 5.53 · exports
Retail Trade 1,923 0.70 · imports
Health Care & Social Assistance 1,798 0.48 · imports
Construction 1,543 1.09
Accommodation & Food Services 1,458 0.59 · imports

Government employment adds ~ 2,235 jobs across 3 ownership slices (QCEW federal/state/local) — the slice a private-only sector mix cannot show.

  • Any jobs claim reads against this baseline as claim vs. denominator — the study never computes a jobs multiplier.

The full sector mix, the multi-decade employment trend, wages, and the consumer-energy series are in the labor-baseline annex.

The record behind this chapter

What this chapter stands on: the records it reads, the inputs its modeled figures rest on, and the reference data behind its baselines — the same pages the record screens serve, not a second copy. A figure the record does not support stays [open] and links nothing.

Reference data